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Kalshi
Kalshi
Economics

USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?

Percentage reserves held Treasury Bills above 56.0%
Y77¢/N23¢
Percentage reserves held Treasury Bills above 58.0%
Y65¢/N35¢
Percentage reserves held Treasury Bills above 60.0%
Y48¢/N53¢
+5 mercados más
8 mercados
KXUSDTTBILL
Kalshi
Economics

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

Announce definitive, binding agreement for acquire acquire two entities combine any structure results transfer controlling interest consolidation two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 2028
Y62¢/N38¢
Announce definitive, binding agreement for acquire acquire two entities combine any structure results transfer controlling interest consolidation two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Announce definitive, binding agreement for acquire acquire two entities combine any structure results transfer controlling interest consolidation two entities under common corporate ownership before Jul 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+10 mercados más
13 mercados
KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER
Kalshi
Economics

Egg prices up in July?

Rise more than Jul 2026
Y49¢/N52¢
1 mercados
KXEGGS
Kalshi
Economics

Who will acquire Letterboxd?

Netflix announce acquisition before Jan 2028
Y57¢/N43¢
Sony Pictures announce acquisition before Jan 2028
Y24¢/N76¢
Paramount announce acquisition before Jan 2028
Y/N91¢
3 mercados
KXACQLETTERBOXD
Kalshi
Economics

Fear & Greed Index on July 31st

Jul 2026
Y34¢/N66¢
Jul 2026
Y29¢/N72¢
Jul 2026
Y20¢/N81¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXFEAR
Kalshi
Economics

ISM Manufacturing PMI in July

2026
Y88¢/N12¢
2026
Y75¢/N25¢
2026
Y70¢/N30¢
+5 mercados más
8 mercados
KXISMPMI
Kalshi
Economics

When will the next US recession start?

When will the next U.S. recession start?
Y25¢/N75¢
When will the next U.S. recession start?
Y/N94¢
When will the next U.S. recession start?
Y/N95¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXNBERRECESSQ
Kalshi
Economics

When will Tim Cook leave Apple?

Tim Cook leaves Apple in 2026?
Y99¢/N
Leaves before July, 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
2 mercados
KXAAPLCEOCHANGE
Kalshi
Economics

Next Fed rate hike?

Federal Reserve rates December 2027
Y80¢/N20¢
Federal Reserve rates June 2027
Y76¢/N25¢
Federal Reserve rates December 2026
Y64¢/N37¢
+1 mercados más
4 mercados
KXFEDHIKE
Kalshi
Economics

What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?

Above 3.50% 2025
Y58¢/N42¢
Above 3.25% 2025
Y55¢/N45¢
Above 4.00% 2025
Y51¢/N50¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXBRAZILINF
Kalshi
Economics

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

Change before 2030
Y39¢/N62¢
Change before 2029
Y29¢/N72¢
Change before 2028
Y13¢/N87¢
+1 mercados más
4 mercados
KXCOSTCOHOTDOG
Kalshi
Economics

Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?

Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?
Y50¢/N50¢
JPM get new CEO given date
Y/N93¢
2 mercados
KXJPMCEOCHANGE
Kalshi
Economics

Burger King 8-piece Chicken Nuggets price in July 2026

Average 8-piece for least $3.46
Y98¢/N
Average 8-piece for least $3.48
Y86¢/N15¢
Average 8-piece for least $3.50
Y67¢/N34¢
+9 mercados más
12 mercados
KXBKNUGGETS
Kalshi
Economics

Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs serve lead-left underwriter
Y66¢/N35¢
Morgan Stanley serve lead-left underwriter
Y24¢/N77¢
JPMorgan Chase serve lead-left underwriter
Y/N95¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXOPENAILEADLEFT
Kalshi
Economics

Which banks will take OpenAI public?

Stifel Financial before Jan 2028
Y50¢/N50¢
Raymond James before Jan 2028
Y45¢/N55¢
Needham Company before Jan 2028
Y40¢/N60¢
+12 mercados más
15 mercados
KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC
Kalshi
Economics

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Goods deficit with before January 2027 $150B
Y82¢/N18¢
1 mercados
KXTRUMPTRADEGAP
Kalshi
Economics

Meta headcount in Q2

Platforms, Inc. report above 70000 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Platforms, Inc. report above 70500 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+15 mercados más
18 mercados
KXMETA
Kalshi
Economics

Webull funded accounts in Q2

CORP report Above million 2026
Y95¢/N
CORP report Above 5.15 million 2026
Y78¢/N22¢
CORP report Above million 2026
Y50¢/N51¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXBULL
Kalshi
Economics

How high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get in July 2026?

S&P/TSX least 35,500
Y100¢/N
S&P/TSX least 36,000
Y59¢/N42¢
S&P/TSX least 36,500
Y25¢/N75¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXTSX
Kalshi
Economics

US existing home sales for July

2026 above 3.80M
Y96¢/N
2026 above 3.90M
Y86¢/N14¢
2026 above 4.00M
Y71¢/N29¢
+5 mercados más
8 mercados
KXEHSALES
Kalshi
Economics

Nu Holdings customers in 2026

Ltd. report above 143 million Number
Y93¢/N
Ltd. report above 144 million Number
Y85¢/N15¢
Ltd. report above 145 million Number
Y80¢/N20¢
+9 mercados más
12 mercados
KXNUA
Kalshi
Economics

U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?

For greater than
Y14¢/N86¢
1 mercados
KXIRANIMPORTS
Kalshi
Economics

How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

Maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01
Y28¢/N72¢
Maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01
Y20¢/N80¢
Maximum WTI front month settle price reach $125.01
Y18¢/N82¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXWTIMAX
Kalshi
Economics

USD/BRL high in July 20​26

USD/BRL exchange rate reach 5.2499 Jul 2026
Y18¢/N82¢
USD/BRL exchange rate reach 5.2999 Jul 2026
Y13¢/N87¢
USD/BRL exchange rate reach 5.3499 Jul 2026
Y10¢/N90¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXUSDBRLMAXM
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