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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nominationAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination
18%
Gavin Newsom nominationGavin Newsom nomination
16%
Jon Ossoff nominationJon Ossoff nomination
16%
+125 weitere
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 Märkte 822
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VanceVance
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff
12%
+125 weitere
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$706.1M128 Märkte 1029
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Vance nominationVance nomination
51%
Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
16%
+125 weitere
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$705.3M128 Märkte 438
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy AhmedAbiy Ahmed
97%
Shimelis AbdisaShimelis Abdisa
2%
Gedion TimothewosGedion Timothewos
1%
+30 weitere
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$286.0M33 Märkte 44
Jun 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 BrazilianFlávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian
55%
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 BrazilianLuiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian
45%
Renan Santos 2026 BrazilianRenan Santos 2026 Brazilian
1%
+29 weitere
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$150.5M32 Märkte 18762
Oct 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Pen 2027Marine Pen 2027
36%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
25%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
13%
+125 weitere
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$134.5M128 Märkte 759
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
83%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
11%
There head stateThere head state
1%
+54 weitere
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$96.1M57 Märkte 384
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
4%
SeptemberSeptember
1%
AprilApril
0%
+3 weitere
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$67.9M6 Märkte 1689
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance
Yes 18¢
No 83¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$66.4M 1
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$41.6M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
96%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
4%
Tom Steyer 2026Tom Steyer 2026
0%
+42 weitere
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$41.0M45 Märkte 88
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
53%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
30%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
10%
+25 weitere
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +7
$37.6M28 Märkte 684
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.5M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

SeptemberSeptember
98%
MayMay
0%
MayMay
0%
+16 weitere
PoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x Iran +3
$30.7M19 Märkte 1410
May 9, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
73%
New PeopleNew People
24%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)
2%
+31 weitere
PoliticsInternational Election PropsRussia Election +6
$29.8M34 Märkte 591
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

DecemberDecember
7%
SeptemberSeptember
1%
AprilApril
0%
+5 weitere
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.4M8 Märkte 194
May 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 2026December 2026
61%
October 2026October 2026
37%
September 2026September 2026
14%
+17 weitere
IranTrumpBlockade +5
$28.7M20 Märkte 566
Jul 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 2027June 2027
26%
DecemberDecember
14%
NovemberNovember
9%
+11 weitere
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$25.4M14 Märkte 1088
Mar 14, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsSudan's Emergency Response Rooms
9%
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
8%
Save ChildrenSave Children
7%
+68 weitere
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$24.1M71 Märkte 207
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 2026December 2026
3%
December 2025December 2025
0%
March 2026March 2026
0%
+1 weitere
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 Märkte 1176
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

El-Mandeb DecemberEl-Mandeb December
23%
El-Mandeb OctoberEl-Mandeb October
17%
El-Mandeb SeptemberEl-Mandeb September
6%
+9 weitere
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$14.0M12 Märkte 268
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
66%
Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
35%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+12 weitere
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$13.6M15 Märkte 157
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Senate, HouseSenate, House
59%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
31%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
11%
+2 weitere
United StatesRewards 20, 4.5, 50Politics +6
$12.2M5 Märkte 285
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18%chance
Yes 18¢
No 83¢
PoliticsshipsGeopolitics +6
$11.8M
Dec 31, 2026
12
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