Politics Märkte
Politics Märkte
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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom nomination19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination15%
Jon Ossoff nomination15%
+125 weitere
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 Märkte 775
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert Kennedy nomination49%
Vance nomination46%
Marco Rubio nomination28%
+125 weitere
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$683.7M128 Märkte 418
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Vance21%
Marco Rubio13%
Gavin Newsom12%
+125 weitere
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$676.1M128 Märkte 988
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed96%
Gedion Timothewos2%
Alesa Mengesha1%
+30 weitere
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$265.2M33 Märkte 39
Jun 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian66%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian25%
Renan Santos 2026 Brazilian8%
+29 weitere
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$118.2M32 Märkte 14994
Oct 4, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Pen 202730%
Édouard Philippe 202726%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 202713%
+125 weitere
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$117.0M128 Märkte 649
Apr 30, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%
Delcy Rodríguez10%
There head state5%
+54 weitere
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$95.0M57 Märkte 367
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Before 20276%
September2%
April0%
+3 weitere
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$63.9M6 Märkte 1670
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
21%chance
Yes 21¢
No 80¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$54.7M 1
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra 202693%
Steve Hilton 20266%
Chad Bianco 20260%
+42 weitere
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$40.5M45 Märkte 88
Nov 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$39.4M 73
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.2M
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot51%
Benjamin Netanyahu35%
Naftali Bennett7%
+25 weitere
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +7
$30.7M28 Märkte 536
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December10%
September5%
August1%
+5 weitere
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.0M8 Märkte 196
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?
August20%
August10%
May0%
+15 weitere
PoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x Iran +3
$26.3M18 Märkte 959
May 24, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
0%chance
Yes 0¢
No 100¢
PoliticsshipsIran +5
$24.0M
Jul 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya9%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy7%
UNRWA5%
+68 weitere
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$23.1M71 Märkte 198
Oct 10, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?
June 202724%
December17%
September6%
+7 weitere
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$22.3M10 Märkte 1091
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia64%
New People30%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)4%
+31 weitere
PoliticsInternational Election PropsWorld Elections +5
$16.6M34 Märkte 347
Sep 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 20265%
December 20250%
March 20260%
+1 weitere
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 Märkte 1176
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass 202663%
Nithya Raman 202639%
Rick Caruso 20260%
+12 weitere
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$13.1M15 Märkte 150
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 96¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$10.5M 271
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?
7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$10.4M
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
El-Mandeb December18%
El-Mandeb September11%
El-Mandeb August5%
+7 weitere
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$9.4M10 Märkte 221
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