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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nominationAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination
16%
Gavin Newsom nominationGavin Newsom nomination
16%
Jon Ossoff nominationJon Ossoff nomination
15%
+125 weitere
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 Märkte 845
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VanceVance
19%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom
12%
+125 weitere
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$719.8M128 Märkte 1060
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
38%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
18%
+125 weitere
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$717.3M128 Märkte 448
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Pen 2027Marine Pen 2027
44%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
19%
David Lisnard 2027David Lisnard 2027
14%
+125 weitere
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +6
$157.5M128 Märkte 1048
Apr 19, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
82%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
16%
María Corina MachadoMaría Corina Machado
1%
+54 weitere
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$99.0M57 Märkte 485
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

20%chance
Yes 20¢
No 81¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$75.5M 1
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
4%
OctoberOctober
0%
AprilApril
0%
+4 weitere
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$75.3M7 Märkte 1734
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
52%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
28%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
11%
+25 weitere
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +8
$56.5M28 Märkte 1052
Oct 27, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance
Yes 2¢
No 98¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$45.1M 73
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 2027March 2027
59%
December 2026December 2026
36%
November 2026November 2026
25%
+20 weitere
IranTrumpBlockade +5
$42.9M23 Märkte 859
Jul 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
96%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
3%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+42 weitere
California MidtermGovernor ElectionsCalifornia Governor +3
$42.7M45 Märkte 90
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Senate, HouseSenate, House
66%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
27%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
8%
+2 weitere
United StatesRewards 20, 4.5, 50Politics +6
$38.2M5 Märkte 438
Nov 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.9M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

DecemberDecember
3%
AprilApril
0%
JuneJune
0%
+5 weitere
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.6M8 Märkte 195
May 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 2027June 2027
26%
DecemberDecember
14%
NovemberNovember
9%
+11 weitere
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$28.1M14 Märkte 1093
Mar 14, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran September
100%
Iran September
100%
Iran September
100%
+17 weitere
IranTrumpIsrael +7
$27.2M20 Märkte
Sep 20, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic control after Midterm electionsDemocratic control after Midterm elections
92%
Republican control after Midterm electionsRepublican control after Midterm elections
9%
Control after Midterm electionsControl after Midterm elections
0%
+6 weitere
Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS Election +7
$23.8M9 Märkte 30
Jul 11, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

El-Mandeb DecemberEl-Mandeb December
15%
El-Mandeb NovemberEl-Mandeb November
8%
El-Mandeb OctoberEl-Mandeb October
1%
+10 weitere
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$17.6M13 Märkte 278
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
55%
Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
45%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+12 weitere
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$16.1M15 Märkte 187
Jun 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

12%chance
Yes 12¢
No 89¢
PoliticsshipsGeopolitics +7
$15.6M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 2026December 2026
4%
December 2025December 2025
0%
March 2026March 2026
0%
+1 weitere
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 Märkte 1176
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$13.2M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$11.0M 276
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson
74%
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson
22%
Ebba BuschEbba Busch
3%
+33 weitere
ElectionsWorldWorld Elections +8
$10.5M36 Märkte 254
Sep 13, 2026
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