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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
35%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
23%
+125 weitere
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +5
$636.9M128 Märkte 405
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
67%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
20%
María Corina MachadoMaría Corina Machado
8%
+54 weitere
Trump-MachadoVenezuelaTrump +4
$88.8M57 Märkte 341
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 2027Jordan Bardella 2027
23%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
19%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
10%
+125 weitere
ElectionsGlobal ElectionsWorld +4
$79.8M128 Märkte 512
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 2026 PeruvianKeiko Fujimori 2026 Peruvian
76%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 2026 PeruvianRoberto Sánchez Palomino 2026 Peruvian
22%
Rafael López Aliaga 2026 PeruvianRafael López Aliaga 2026 Peruvian
1%
+46 weitere
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld Elections +5
$53.9M49 Märkte 5016
Apr 12, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-ohChong Won-oh
67%
Se-hoonSe-hoon
33%
Cho Eun-heeCho Eun-hee
0%
+63 weitere
PoliticsWorldElections +4
$43.2M66 Märkte 198
Jun 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

July 2026July 2026
91%
June 2026June 2026
82%
June 2026June 2026
69%
+20 weitere
PoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$39.8M23 Märkte 6
Apr 18, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

JuneJune
37%
JuneJune
31%
MayMay
26%
+8 weitere
PoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran +1
$34.7M11 Märkte 1621
May 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
DenmarkForeign PolicyGreenland +4
$33.2M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo Espriella 2026 ColombianAbelardo Espriella 2026 Colombian
55%
Candidate 2026 ColombianCandidate 2026 Colombian
50%
Ivan Cepeda Castro 2026 ColombianIvan Cepeda Castro 2026 Colombian
40%
+25 weitere
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsElections +6
$30.4M28 Märkte 546
Jun 21, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
72%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
23%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
4%
+6 weitere
StarmerUKkeir +3
$29.3M9 Märkte 1722
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
63%
Tom Steyer 2026Tom Steyer 2026
24%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
7%
+42 weitere
ElectionsUS ElectionPolitics +3
$24.7M45 Märkte 65
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
Foreign PolicyChinaPolitics +3
$23.4M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Continue MayContinue May
100%
Continue MayContinue May
100%
Continue MayContinue May
100%
+12 weitere
IranPoliticsIran Ceasefire +1
$18.9M15 Märkte 184
May 23, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

UNRWAUNRWA
16%
Donald TrumpDonald Trump
9%
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
9%
+68 weitere
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$18.3M71 Märkte 179
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton 2026Ken Paxton 2026
96%
John Cornyn 2026John Cornyn 2026
5%
Dawn Buckingham 2026Dawn Buckingham 2026
0%
+17 weitere
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +8
$17.0M20 Märkte 1
May 26, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

DecemberDecember
31%
Iran leadership change by June 30?Iran leadership change by June 30?
8%
Iran leadership change by May 31?Iran leadership change by May 31?
2%
+3 weitere
MojtabaayatollahPolitics +7
$14.9M6 Märkte 1062
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Epstein suicide note released by...?

Epstein suicide note released by...?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
PoliticsEpsteinTrump
$14.6M2 Märkte 548
May 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
40%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
34%
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
15%
+25 weitere
PoliticsMiddle EastIsrael +7
$11.1M28 Märkte 284
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

14%chance
Yes 14¢
No 86¢
PoliticsGreenlandTrump +2
$10.0M 268
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen after 2026 parliamentary electionsMette Frederiksen after 2026 parliamentary elections
87%
Lars Løkke Rasmussen after 2026 parliamentary electionsLars Løkke Rasmussen after 2026 parliamentary elections
4%
Troels Lund Poulsen after 2026 parliamentary electionsTroels Lund Poulsen after 2026 parliamentary elections
3%
+30 weitere
ElectionsPoliticsGreenland +8
$9.2M33 Märkte 179
Mar 24, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
56%
New PeopleNew People
33%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)
5%
+31 weitere
World ElectionsElectionsGlobal Elections +4
$8.8M34 Märkte 201
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%chance
Yes 10¢
No 91¢
ElectionsPoliticsGeopolitics +2
$8.6M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham United KingdomAndy Burnham United Kingdom
46%
United Kingdom appointedUnited Kingdom appointed
28%
Angela Rayner United KingdomAngela Rayner United Kingdom
10%
+58 weitere
PoliticsEnglandUK +3
$8.0M61 Märkte 97
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Will Trump and Putin not meet?Will Trump and Putin not meet?
93%
RussiaRussia
1%
TurkeyTurkey
1%
+12 weitere
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +5
$7.9M15 Märkte 29
Jun 30, 2026
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