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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT…
Y9¢/N92¢
1 Märkte
KXGPTCOST
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic sub…
Y28¢/N73¢
1 Märkte
KXFDAAPPROVALPSYCHEDELIC
Kalshi
Science

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Y10¢/N91¢
1 Märkte
KXBESTLLMCHINA
Kalshi
Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
2026
Y50¢/N50¢
2029
Y19¢/N82¢
+5 weitere Märkte
8 Märkte
KXALIENS
Kalshi
Science

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

Will an AI model using neuralese recurre…
Y88¢/N13¢
1 Märkte
KXAINEURALESE
Kalshi
Science

NASA lands on the moon?

Land person 2029
Y46¢/N54¢
Land person 2028
Y23¢/N78¢
Land person before 2028
Y3¢/N97¢
+1 weitere Märkte
4 Märkte
KXMOON
Kalshi
Science

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Y6¢/N94¢
1 Märkte
KXTESLAOPTIMUS
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y97¢/N3¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y62¢/N39¢
Dec
Y26¢/N74¢
+7 weitere Märkte
10 Märkte
KXSPACEXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Approved Dec 2026
Y8¢/N93¢
1 Märkte
KXREACTOR
Kalshi
Science

Measles cases in 2026?

There more than 3000
Y100¢/N1¢
There more than 4000
Y97¢/N4¢
There more than 6000
Y52¢/N49¢
+2 weitere Märkte
5 Märkte
KXMEASLES
Kalshi
Science

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y74¢/N26¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y12¢/N88¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y8¢/N92¢
+5 weitere Märkte
8 Märkte
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Dec
Y72¢/N28¢
Dec
Y14¢/N86¢
Dec
Y5¢/N96¢
+6 weitere Märkte
9 Märkte
KXCODINGMODEL
Kalshi
Science

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026

Ariel Pakes Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y23¢/N78¢
Susan Athey Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y13¢/N88¢
Robert Barro Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y11¢/N90¢
+6 weitere Märkte
9 Märkte
KXNOBELECON
Kalshi
Science

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic by 2026?
Y4¢/N96¢
1 Märkte
KXNEWOUTBREAKEBOLA
Kalshi
Science

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

Delta-class
Y67¢/N34¢
Delta-class
Y53¢/N48¢
Delta-class
Y48¢/N53¢
+2 weitere Märkte
5 Märkte
KXSPCELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y39¢/N61¢
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y24¢/N77¢
2 Märkte
KXBOLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX launch Dragon Crew-13

Crew-13
Y97¢/N4¢
Crew-13
Y96¢/N5¢
Crew-13
Y92¢/N8¢
+5 weitere Märkte
8 Märkte
KXSPCXLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Above
Y93¢/N7¢
Above
Y47¢/N53¢
Above
Y7¢/N94¢
+7 weitere Märkte
10 Märkte
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

VERVE-102 before Jan 2035
Y83¢/N17¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2034
Y79¢/N21¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2033
Y75¢/N25¢
+3 weitere Märkte
6 Märkte
KXFDAVERVE102
Kalshi
Science

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

2026
Y3¢/N97¢
1 Märkte
KXNEWOUTBREAKHANTA
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Year
Y25¢/N76¢
Before Oct 2026
Y1¢/N99¢
3 Märkte
KXSTARSHIPFL
Kalshi
Science

Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?

Human Rwanda reported Oct 2026
Y6¢/N94¢
Human Central African Republic reported Oct 2026
Y5¢/N95¢
Human Kenya reported Oct 2026
Y5¢/N96¢
+13 weitere Märkte
16 Märkte
KXEBOLACOUNTRY
Kalshi
Science

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

Above 14000 United States during
Y100¢/N1¢
Above 18000 United States during
Y100¢/N1¢
Above 4000 United States during
Y99¢/N1¢
+12 weitere Märkte
15 Märkte
KXCYCLOCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September

For 2026 above
Y89¢/N12¢
For 2026 above 56.2%
Y81¢/N20¢
For 2026 above 56.4%
Y71¢/N29¢
+4 weitere Märkte
7 Märkte
KXAIADOPTION
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