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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Before Jan 2027
Y68¢/N32¢
Before Jul 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Sep 2026
Y/N97¢
+1 weitere Märkte
4 Märkte
KXGROK
Kalshi
Science

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT…
Y31¢/N69¢
1 Märkte
KXGPTCOST
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic sub…
Y30¢/N71¢
1 Märkte
KXFDAAPPROVALPSYCHEDELIC
Kalshi
Science

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Y14¢/N87¢
1 Märkte
KXBESTLLMCHINA
Kalshi
Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before July 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
2029
Y22¢/N79¢
+6 weitere Märkte
9 Märkte
KXALIENS
Kalshi
Science

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Will any of the major AI companies pause…
Y50¢/N50¢
1 Märkte
KXAIPAUSE
Kalshi
Science

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

Will an AI model using neuralese recurre…
Y41¢/N60¢
1 Märkte
KXAINEURALESE
Kalshi
Science

What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?

What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y92¢/N
What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y75¢/N25¢
What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y50¢/N50¢
3 Märkte
KXAAPLPRICEFOLD
Kalshi
Science

NASA lands on the moon?

Land person 2029
Y48¢/N53¢
Land person 2028
Y21¢/N80¢
Land person before 2028
Y/N98¢
+1 weitere Märkte
4 Märkte
KXMOON
Kalshi
Science

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Y13¢/N88¢
1 Märkte
KXTESLAOPTIMUS
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y97¢/N
How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y92¢/N
How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y77¢/N24¢
+6 weitere Märkte
9 Märkte
KXSPACEXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Approved Dec 2026
Y12¢/N88¢
1 Märkte
KXREACTOR
Kalshi
Science

Measles cases in 2026?

There more than 1500
Y100¢/N
There more than 1750
Y100¢/N
There more than 3000
Y96¢/N
+5 weitere Märkte
8 Märkte
KXMEASLES
Kalshi
Science

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y64¢/N36¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y16¢/N84¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y/N93¢
+5 weitere Märkte
8 Märkte
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Dec
Y62¢/N39¢
Dec
Y31¢/N70¢
Dec
Y/N96¢
+6 weitere Märkte
9 Märkte
KXCODINGMODEL
Kalshi
Science

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026

Robert Barro Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y11¢/N90¢
Partha Dasgupta Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y11¢/N90¢
Richard Blundell Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y11¢/N90¢
+6 weitere Märkte
9 Märkte
KXNOBELECON
Kalshi
Science

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic by 2026?
Y/N95¢
1 Märkte
KXNEWOUTBREAKEBOLA
Kalshi
Science

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

Delta-class
Y88¢/N13¢
Delta-class
Y84¢/N17¢
Delta-class
Y79¢/N21¢
+2 weitere Märkte
5 Märkte
KXSPCELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y40¢/N60¢
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y22¢/N78¢
2 Märkte
KXBOLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX launch Dragon Crew-13

Crew-13
Y97¢/N
Crew-13
Y90¢/N10¢
Crew-13
Y85¢/N16¢
+5 weitere Märkte
8 Märkte
KXSPCXLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Above
Y91¢/N
Above
Y66¢/N35¢
Above
Y38¢/N62¢
+7 weitere Märkte
10 Märkte
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

VERVE-102 before Jan 2035
Y85¢/N16¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2034
Y78¢/N22¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2033
Y75¢/N25¢
+3 weitere Märkte
6 Märkte
KXFDAVERVE102
Kalshi
Science

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

2026
Y/N96¢
1 Märkte
KXNEWOUTBREAKHANTA
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Year
Y32¢/N68¢
Before Oct 2026
Y/N93¢
3 Märkte
KXSTARSHIPFL
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