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Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
37%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
25%
+125 more
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +5
$614.2M128 markets 387
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
62%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
26%
María Corina MachadoMaría Corina Machado
8%
+54 more
Trump-MachadoVenezuelaTrump +4
$87.6M57 markets 330
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 2027Jordan Bardella 2027
24%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
11%
+125 more
ElectionsGlobal ElectionsWorld +4
$68.0M128 markets 490
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin WarshKevin Warsh
100%
Judy SheltonJudy Shelton
0%
Michelle BowmanMichelle Bowman
0%
+32 more
TrumpPoliticsFed Rates +5
$56.3M35 markets 108
Oct 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 2026 PeruvianKeiko Fujimori 2026 Peruvian
62%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 2026 PeruvianRoberto Sánchez Palomino 2026 Peruvian
34%
Rafael López Aliaga 2026 PeruvianRafael López Aliaga 2026 Peruvian
1%
+46 more
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld Elections +5
$50.2M49 markets 4658
Apr 12, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by June 30?Will Trump visit China by June 30?
100%
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Will Trump visit China by May 31?
100%
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Will Trump visit China by May 15?
99%
+6 more
Trump PresidencyTrumpPolitics +7
$39.9M9 markets 850
Oct 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-ohChong Won-oh
92%
Se-hoonSe-hoon
7%
Cho Eun-heeCho Eun-hee
0%
+63 more
PoliticsWorldElections +3
$36.5M66 markets 60
Jun 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

June 2026June 2026
64%
May 2026May 2026
28%
May 2026May 2026
2%
+17 more
PoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$35.2M20 markets 6
Apr 18, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
DenmarkForeign PolicyGreenland +4
$33.0M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

Candidate 2026 ColombianCandidate 2026 Colombian
50%
Abelardo Espriella 2026 ColombianAbelardo Espriella 2026 Colombian
43%
Ivan Cepeda Castro 2026 ColombianIvan Cepeda Castro 2026 Colombian
40%
+25 more
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsElections +6
$28.4M28 markets 414
Jun 21, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
Foreign PolicyChinaPolitics +3
$23.4M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
55%
Tom Steyer 2026Tom Steyer 2026
26%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
9%
+42 more
ElectionsUS ElectionPolitics +3
$20.6M45 markets 55
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
86%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
69%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
57%
+5 more
StarmerUKkeir +3
$20.2M8 markets 999
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
8%
Donald TrumpDonald Trump
7%
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy
5%
+68 more
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$16.3M71 markets 169
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton 2026Ken Paxton 2026
60%
John Cornyn 2026John Cornyn 2026
41%
Beth Van Duyne 2026Beth Van Duyne 2026
0%
+17 more
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +8
$16.0M20 markets 1
May 26, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

DecemberDecember
35%
Iran leadership change by June 30?Iran leadership change by June 30?
16%
Iran leadership change by May 31?Iran leadership change by May 31?
9%
+3 more
MojtabaayatollahPolitics +7
$13.4M6 markets 1076
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

MayMay
39%
MayMay
7%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
0%
+2 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran +1
$12.5M5 markets 665
May 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Epstein suicide note released by...?

Epstein suicide note released by...?

13%chance
Yes 13¢
No 88¢
PoliticsEpsteinTrump
$12.4M2 markets 442
May 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

16%chance
Yes 16¢
No 85¢
PoliticsGreenlandTrump +2
$9.9M 267
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

12%chance
Yes 12¢
No 89¢
ElectionsPoliticsGeopolitics +2
$8.3M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen after 2026 parliamentary electionsMette Frederiksen after 2026 parliamentary elections
70%
Troels Lund Poulsen after 2026 parliamentary electionsTroels Lund Poulsen after 2026 parliamentary elections
16%
Lars Løkke Rasmussen after 2026 parliamentary electionsLars Løkke Rasmussen after 2026 parliamentary elections
8%
+30 more
ElectionsPoliticsGreenland +8
$8.3M33 markets 168
Mar 24, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
41%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
28%
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
14%
+25 more
PoliticsMiddle EastIsrael +7
$8.1M28 markets 244
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
63%
New PeopleNew People
27%
Communist Federation (KPRF)Communist Federation (KPRF)
5%
+31 more
World ElectionsElectionsGlobal Elections +4
$7.5M34 markets 186
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
32%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
29%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
17%
+13 more
IsraelIranMiddle East +3
$6.7M16 markets
Dec 31, 2026
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