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will win the Fields Medal in 2026?","Hong Wang",0.86,0.91,0.09,0.14,0.889,"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","binary","If Hong Wang wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",true,"moderate",{"ticker":160,"title":147,"yesSubTitle":161,"noSubTitle":161,"yesBidDollars":162,"yesAskDollars":163,"noBidDollars":164,"noAskDollars":165,"lastPriceDollars":166,"volumeFp":137,"volume24hFp":137,"openInterestFp":137,"liquidityDollars":137,"status":132,"result":143,"closeTime":154,"expirationTime":154,"marketType":155,"strikeType":85,"floorStrike":143,"capStrike":143,"rulesPrimary":167,"canCloseEarly":157,"fractionalTradingEnabled":157,"previousPriceDollars":168,"spreadCents":16,"spreadQuality":169,"liquidityScore":137},"KXFIELDS-26-JTSI","Jacob Tsimerman",0.803,0.827,0.173,0.197,0.802,"If Jacob Tsimerman wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",0.863,"tight",{"ticker":171,"title":147,"yesSubTitle":172,"noSubTitle":172,"yesBidDollars":173,"yesAskDollars":174,"noBidDollars":175,"noAskDollars":176,"lastPriceDollars":177,"volumeFp":137,"volume24hFp":137,"openInterestFp":137,"liquidityDollars":137,"status":132,"result":143,"closeTime":154,"expirationTime":154,"marketType":155,"strikeType":85,"floorStrike":143,"capStrike":143,"rulesPrimary":178,"canCloseEarly":157,"fractionalTradingEnabled":157,"previousPriceDollars":179,"spreadCents":45,"spreadQuality":180,"liquidityScore":137},"KXFIELDS-26-YDEN","Yu Deng",0.594,0.653,0.347,0.406,0.649,"If Yu Deng wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",0.574,"wide",{"ticker":182,"title":147,"yesSubTitle":183,"noSubTitle":183,"yesBidDollars":184,"yesAskDollars":185,"noBidDollars":186,"noAskDollars":187,"lastPriceDollars":188,"volumeFp":137,"volume24hFp":137,"openInterestFp":137,"liquidityDollars":137,"status":132,"result":143,"closeTime":154,"expirationTime":154,"marketType":155,"strikeType":85,"floorStrike":143,"capStrike":143,"rulesPrimary":189,"canCloseEarly":157,"fractionalTradingEnabled":157,"previousPriceDollars":188,"spreadCents":45,"spreadQuality":180,"liquidityScore":137},"KXFIELDS-26-JTHO","Jack Thorne",0.24,0.304,0.696,0.76,0.306,"If Jack Thorne wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":191,"title":147,"yesSubTitle":192,"noSubTitle":192,"yesBidDollars":193,"yesAskDollars":177,"noBidDollars":194,"noAskDollars":195,"lastPriceDollars":196,"volumeFp":137,"volume24hFp":137,"openInterestFp":137,"liquidityDollars":137,"status":132,"result":143,"closeTime":154,"expirationTime":154,"marketType":155,"strikeType":85,"floorStrike":143,"capStrike":143,"rulesPrimary":197,"canCloseEarly":157,"fractionalTradingEnabled":157,"previousPriceDollars":198,"spreadCents":45,"spreadQuality":180,"liquidityScore":137},"KXFIELDS-26-JPAR","John Pardon",0.59,0.351,0.41,0.65,"If John Pardon wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to 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Yes.",0.158,{"ticker":210,"title":147,"yesSubTitle":211,"noSubTitle":211,"yesBidDollars":212,"yesAskDollars":213,"noBidDollars":214,"noAskDollars":215,"lastPriceDollars":216,"volumeFp":137,"volume24hFp":137,"openInterestFp":137,"liquidityDollars":137,"status":132,"result":143,"closeTime":154,"expirationTime":154,"marketType":155,"strikeType":85,"floorStrike":143,"capStrike":143,"rulesPrimary":217,"canCloseEarly":157,"fractionalTradingEnabled":157,"previousPriceDollars":218,"spreadCents":61,"spreadQuality":180,"liquidityScore":137},"KXFIELDS-26-JSAH","Julian Sahasrabudhe",0.12,0.196,0.804,0.88,0.121,"If Julian Sahasrabudhe wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",0.195,{"ticker":220,"title":147,"yesSubTitle":221,"noSubTitle":221,"yesBidDollars":222,"yesAskDollars":223,"noBidDollars":224,"noAskDollars":225,"lastPriceDollars":226,"volumeFp":137,"volume24hFp":137,"openInterestFp":137,"liquidityDollars":137,"status":132,"result":143,"closeTime":154,"expirationTime":154,"marketType":155,"strikeType":85,"floorStrike":143,"capStrike":143,"rulesPrimary":227,"canCloseEarly":157,"fractionalTradingEnabled":157,"previousPriceDollars":222,"spreadCents":69,"spreadQuality":180,"liquidityScore":137},"KXFIELDS-26-WSAW","Will Sawin",0.025,0.114,0.886,0.975,0.112,"If Will Sawin wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":229,"title":147,"yesSubTitle":230,"noSubTitle":230,"yesBidDollars":231,"yesAskDollars":184,"noBidDollars":187,"noAskDollars":232,"lastPriceDollars":184,"volumeFp":137,"volume24hFp":137,"openInterestFp":137,"liquidityDollars":137,"status":132,"result":143,"closeTime":154,"expirationTime":154,"marketType":155,"strikeType":85,"floorStrike":143,"capStrike":143,"rulesPrimary":233,"canCloseEarly":157,"fractionalTradingEnabled":157,"previousPriceDollars":234,"spreadCents":53,"spreadQuality":180,"liquidityScore":137},"KXFIELDS-26-ALOG","Aleksandr Logunov",0.171,0.829,"If Aleksandr Logunov wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",0.205,{"ticker":236,"title":147,"yesSubTitle":237,"noSubTitle":237,"yesBidDollars":238,"yesAskDollars":239,"noBidDollars":240,"noAskDollars":241,"lastPriceDollars":242,"volumeFp":137,"volume24hFp":137,"openInterestFp":137,"liquidityDollars":137,"status":132,"result":143,"closeTime":154,"expirationTime":154,"marketType":155,"strikeType":85,"floorStrike":143,"capStrike":143,"rulesPrimary":243,"canCloseEarly":157,"fractionalTradingEnabled":157,"previousPriceDollars":244,"spreadCents":69,"spreadQuality":180,"liquidityScore":137},"KXFIELDS-26-AEFI","Alexander Efimov",0.055,0.145,0.855,0.945,0.117,"If Alexander Efimov wins the Fields Medal in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",0.116,false,"who-will-win-the-fields-medal-in-2026-kxfields-26","Before 2026",[249,251,253],{"name":147,"probability":250,"ticker":146,"volume":137},0.885,{"name":147,"probability":252,"ticker":160,"volume":137},0.815,{"name":147,"probability":254,"ticker":171,"volume":137},0.6234999999999999]