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Inc in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County","Before Aug 1, 2028",0.56,0.63,0.37,0.44,"2028-08-01T14:00:00Z","binary","If the Supreme Court, in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County, rules that federal law precludes Boulder County and the City of Boulder’s state-law claims seeking relief for injuries allegedly caused by interstate and international greenhouse-gas emissions’ effects on the global climate, then the market resolves to Yes.",true,false,"wide","will-the-supreme-court-bar-boulder-s-state-law-climate-claims-against-suncor-and-exxon-kxscotuscase-suncom26","Before 2026","Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?",[124],{"name":108,"probability":125,"ticker":102,"volume":99},0.595,{"_id":127,"avgSpreadCents":62,"category":83,"endDate":128,"eventTicker":127,"lastUpdated":129,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":130,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":138,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":140,"topOutcomes":141,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-STMROY28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[131],{"ticker":127,"title":132,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":133,"yesAskDollars":134,"noBidDollars":135,"noAskDollars":136,"lastPriceDollars":133,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":137,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":133,"spreadCents":62,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of St. Mary Catholic Parish in Littleton in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy",0.73,0.81,0.19,0.27,"If the Supreme Court, in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy, rules either that establishing a lack of general applicability under Employment Division v. Smith does not require unfettered discretion or categorical exemptions for identical secular conduct, or that Carson v. Makin can displace Smith without an explicit exclusion of religious people or institutions, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-reject-narrow-free-exercise-tests-for-catholic-preschools-kxscotuscase-stmroy28","Before 2028","Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?",[142],{"name":132,"probability":143,"ticker":127,"volume":99},0.77,{"_id":145,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":146,"eventTicker":145,"lastUpdated":147,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":148,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":157,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":158,"topOutcomes":159,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-RNCMIF28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[149],{"ticker":145,"title":150,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":151,"yesAskDollars":152,"noBidDollars":153,"noAskDollars":154,"lastPriceDollars":155,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":156,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":155,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Republican National Committee in Republican National Committee v. Mi Familia Vota",0.61,0.7,0.3,0.39,0.69,"If the Supreme Court, in Republican National Committee v. Mi Familia Vota, rules neither the National Voter Registration Act nor a federal consent decree bars Arizona from requiring satisfactory evidence of U.S. citizenship on its state voter-registration form, and that the Act does not bar Arizona from canceling noncitizens’ registrations within 90 days of a federal election, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-allow-arizona-s-citizenship-proof-and-pre-election-noncitizen-removal-rules-kxscotuscase-rncmif28","Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?",[160],{"name":150,"probability":161,"ticker":145,"volume":99},0.655,{"_id":163,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":164,"eventTicker":163,"lastUpdated":165,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":166,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":172,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":173,"topOutcomes":174,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-APPEPI28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[167],{"ticker":163,"title":168,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":133,"yesAskDollars":169,"noBidDollars":170,"noAskDollars":136,"lastPriceDollars":133,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":171,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":133,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Apple Inc. in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc.",0.82,0.18,"If the Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc., rules civil contempt may not be based on violating an injunction’s “spirit” when the injunction does not clearly and unambiguously prohibit the precise conduct at issue, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-bar-contempt-for-conduct-not-clearly-prohibited-by-an-injunction-kxscotuscase-appepi28","Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?",[175],{"name":168,"probability":176,"ticker":163,"volume":99},0.7749999999999999,{"_id":178,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":179,"eventTicker":178,"lastUpdated":180,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":181,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":187,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":188,"topOutcomes":189,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-YOUFUL28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[182],{"ticker":178,"title":183,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":184,"yesAskDollars":151,"noBidDollars":154,"noAskDollars":185,"lastPriceDollars":151,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":186,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":151,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Dr. Jasmine Younge in Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office",0.52,0.48,"If the Supreme Court, in Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office, rules a defendant may not assert an affirmative defense omitted from its answer as the basis for summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend the answer, including when Rule 16(b)(4) would bar amendment, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-bar-unpled-affirmative-defenses-at-summary-judgment-kxscotuscase-youful28","Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?",[190],{"name":183,"probability":191,"ticker":178,"volume":99},0.565,{"_id":193,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":194,"eventTicker":193,"lastUpdated":195,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":196,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":204,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":205,"topOutcomes":206,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-WASBLA28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[197],{"ticker":193,"title":198,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":199,"yesAskDollars":200,"noBidDollars":201,"noAskDollars":72,"lastPriceDollars":202,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":203,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":202,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Tamer S. Wassily in Wassily v. Blanche",0.26,0.35,0.65,0.03,"If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v. Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-let-people-seek-green-cards-after-their-asylum-is-terminated-kxscotuscase-wasbla28","Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?",[207],{"name":198,"probability":208,"ticker":193,"volume":99},0.305,{"_id":210,"avgSpreadCents":62,"category":83,"endDate":211,"eventTicker":210,"lastUpdated":212,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":213,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":219,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":220,"topOutcomes":221,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-SALPAR28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[214],{"ticker":210,"title":215,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":216,"yesAskDollars":113,"noBidDollars":110,"noAskDollars":217,"lastPriceDollars":112,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":218,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":112,"spreadCents":62,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Michael Salazar in Salazar v. Paramount Global",0.36,0.64,"If the Supreme Court, in Salazar v. Paramount Global, rules the VPPA’s definition of “consumer” includes subscribers to any goods or services from a video tape service provider, not only its audiovisual goods or services, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-count-subscribers-to-a-video-provider-s-non-video-offerings-as-vppa-consumers-kxscotuscase-salpar28","Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?",[222],{"name":215,"probability":223,"ticker":210,"volume":99},0.4,{"_id":225,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":226,"eventTicker":225,"lastUpdated":227,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":228,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":235,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":236,"topOutcomes":237,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-RISPEP28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[229],{"ticker":225,"title":230,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":231,"yesAskDollars":143,"noBidDollars":232,"noAskDollars":233,"lastPriceDollars":152,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":234,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":152,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of RiseandShine Corporation, d/b/a Rise Brewing in RiseandShine Corp. v. PepsiCo, Inc.",0.68,0.23,0.32,"If the Supreme Court, in RiseandShine Corp. v. PepsiCo, Inc., rules trademark strength is a question of fact in determining likelihood of confusion under 15 U.S.C. § 1114, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-treat-trademark-strength-as-a-factual-question-kxscotuscase-rispep28","Will SCOTUS treat trademark strength as a factual question?",[238],{"name":230,"probability":239,"ticker":225,"volume":99},0.7250000000000001,{"_id":241,"avgSpreadCents":54,"category":83,"endDate":242,"eventTicker":241,"lastUpdated":243,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":244,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":253,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":254,"topOutcomes":255,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-NIEWAT28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[245],{"ticker":241,"title":246,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":247,"yesAskDollars":248,"noBidDollars":249,"noAskDollars":250,"lastPriceDollars":251,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":252,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":251,"spreadCents":54,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Francis Nielsen in Nielsen v. Watanabe",0.72,0.79,0.21,0.28,0.78,"If the Supreme Court, in Nielsen v. Watanabe, rules Watanabe may not pursue a Bivens damages claim against Nielsen for allegedly inadequate medical care, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-bar-watanabe-s-bivens-medical-care-claim-kxscotuscase-niewat28","Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?",[256],{"name":246,"probability":257,"ticker":241,"volume":99},0.755,{"_id":259,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":260,"eventTicker":259,"lastUpdated":261,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":262,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":270,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":271,"topOutcomes":272,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-MONLIG28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[263],{"ticker":259,"title":264,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":265,"yesAskDollars":266,"noBidDollars":267,"noAskDollars":268,"lastPriceDollars":151,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":269,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":151,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kevin Isaac Montoya Palacios in Montoya Palacios v. Liggins",0.57,0.66,0.34,0.43,"If the Supreme Court, in Montoya Palacios v. Liggins, rules the Equal Access to Justice Act’s phrase “any civil action” encompasses a habeas action challenging civil immigration detention, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-hold-that-eaja-covers-immigration-detention-habeas-actions-kxscotuscase-monlig28","Will SCOTUS hold that EAJA covers immigration-detention habeas actions?",[273],{"name":264,"probability":274,"ticker":259,"volume":99},0.615,{"_id":276,"avgSpreadCents":62,"category":83,"endDate":277,"eventTicker":276,"lastUpdated":278,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":279,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":288,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":289,"topOutcomes":290,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-MAXTHO28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[280],{"ticker":276,"title":281,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":282,"yesAskDollars":283,"noBidDollars":284,"noAskDollars":285,"lastPriceDollars":286,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":287,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":286,"spreadCents":62,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of William Maxwell in Maxwell v. Thomas",0.59,0.67,0.33,0.41,0.58,"If the Supreme Court, in Maxwell v. Thomas, rules a claim concerning the application of First Step Act time credits seeking accelerated transfer to a halfway house or home confinement may be brought through a habeas petition under 28 U.S.C. § 2241, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-allow-first-step-act-halfway-house-claims-under-2241-kxscotuscase-maxtho28","Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?",[291],{"name":281,"probability":111,"ticker":276,"volume":99},{"_id":293,"avgSpreadCents":17,"category":83,"endDate":294,"eventTicker":293,"lastUpdated":295,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":296,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":304,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":305,"topOutcomes":306,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-KIAFLO28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[297],{"ticker":293,"title":298,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":251,"yesAskDollars":299,"noBidDollars":300,"noAskDollars":301,"lastPriceDollars":299,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":302,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":299,"spreadCents":17,"spreadQuality":303,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Hamed Kian in Kian v. Florida",0.8,0.2,0.22,"If the Supreme Court, in Kian v. Florida, rules the Sixth and Fourteenth Amendments require a 12-person jury when a defendant is charged with a serious felony, then the market resolves to Yes.","tight","will-scotus-require-12-person-juries-for-serious-felonies-kxscotuscase-kiaflo28","Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?",[307],{"name":298,"probability":248,"ticker":293,"volume":99},{"_id":309,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":310,"eventTicker":309,"lastUpdated":311,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":312,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":320,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":321,"topOutcomes":322,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-JOUALA28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[313],{"ticker":309,"title":314,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":315,"yesAskDollars":316,"noBidDollars":317,"noAskDollars":318,"lastPriceDollars":315,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":319,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":315,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kenneth J. Jouppi in Jouppi v. Alaska",0.76,0.85,0.15,0.24,"If the Supreme Court, in Jouppi v. Alaska, rules courts must consider the gravity of the specific defendant’s wrongdoing, rather than evaluating the underlying offense purely in the abstract, when applying the Excessive Fines Clause, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-require-courts-to-consider-a-defendant-s-specific-wrongdoing-in-excessive-fines-cases-kxscotuscase-jouala28","Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?",[323],{"name":314,"probability":324,"ticker":309,"volume":99},0.8049999999999999,{"_id":326,"avgSpreadCents":62,"category":83,"endDate":327,"eventTicker":326,"lastUpdated":328,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":329,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":335,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":336,"topOutcomes":337,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-JOHUSA28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[330],{"ticker":326,"title":331,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":283,"yesAskDollars":332,"noBidDollars":333,"noAskDollars":284,"lastPriceDollars":72,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":334,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":72,"spreadCents":62,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Floyd D. Johnson in Johnson v. United States Congress",0.75,0.25,"If the Supreme Court, in Johnson v. United States Congress, rules the Veterans’ Judicial Review Act did not strip district courts of jurisdiction to hear constitutional challenges to acts of Congress affecting veterans’ benefits, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-let-district-courts-hear-constitutional-challenges-to-veterans-benefits-laws-kxscotuscase-johusa28","Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?",[338],{"name":331,"probability":339,"ticker":326,"volume":99},0.71,{"_id":341,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":342,"eventTicker":341,"lastUpdated":343,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":344,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":353,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":354,"topOutcomes":355,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-INTFER28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[345],{"ticker":341,"title":346,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":347,"yesAskDollars":348,"noBidDollars":349,"noAskDollars":350,"lastPriceDollars":351,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":352,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":351,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc in International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc. v. Ferguson",0.86,0.95,0.05,0.14,0.94,"If the Supreme Court, in International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc. v. Ferguson, rules parents have Article III standing to challenge laws or policies that displace their decision-making role regarding their children’s gender transitions and thereby create present or likely future impediments to parenting, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-let-parents-challenge-laws-that-displace-them-from-their-children-s-gender-transition-decisions-kxscotuscase-intfer28","Will SCOTUS let parents challenge laws that displace them from their children’s gender-transition decisions?",[356],{"name":346,"probability":357,"ticker":341,"volume":99},0.905,{"_id":359,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":360,"eventTicker":359,"lastUpdated":361,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":362,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":370,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":371,"topOutcomes":372,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-HOFWBI28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[363],{"ticker":359,"title":364,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":365,"yesAskDollars":366,"noBidDollars":367,"noAskDollars":368,"lastPriceDollars":368,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":369,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":368,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Leonard W. Hoffmann et al. in Hoffmann v. WBI Energy Transmission, Inc.",0.46,0.55,0.45,0.54,"If the Supreme Court, in Hoffmann v. WBI Energy Transmission, Inc., rules state law governs the determination of just compensation in private condemnations under the Natural Gas Act, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-require-state-law-compensation-in-private-natural-gas-condemnations-kxscotuscase-hofwbi28","Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?",[373],{"name":364,"probability":374,"ticker":359,"volume":99},0.505,{"_id":376,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":377,"eventTicker":376,"lastUpdated":378,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":379,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":383,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":384,"topOutcomes":385,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-GUEJON28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[380],{"ticker":376,"title":381,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":217,"yesAskDollars":133,"noBidDollars":136,"noAskDollars":216,"lastPriceDollars":99,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":382,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":99,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Eric Guerrero in Guerrero v. Johnson","If the Supreme Court, in Guerrero v. Johnson, rules a habeas claim does not rely on a previously unavailable new constitutional rule when the petitioner could have asserted a claim based on that rule in an earlier federal habeas petition, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-bar-successive-habeas-claims-that-could-have-been-raised-earlier-kxscotuscase-guejon28","Will SCOTUS bar successive habeas claims that could have been raised earlier?",[386],{"name":381,"probability":387,"ticker":376,"volume":99},0.685,{"_id":389,"avgSpreadCents":62,"category":83,"endDate":390,"eventTicker":389,"lastUpdated":391,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":392,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":398,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":399,"topOutcomes":400,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[393],{"ticker":389,"title":394,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":316,"yesAskDollars":395,"noBidDollars":396,"noAskDollars":317,"lastPriceDollars":395,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":397,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":316,"spreadCents":62,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Daniel Grand in Grand v. City of University Heights",0.93,0.07,"If the Supreme Court, in Grand v. City of University Heights, rules the land-use finality requirement does not displace a First Amendment chilling-effect claim based on credible government threats that deter religious exercise, worship, or assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-allow-religious-chilling-effect-claims-without-a-final-land-use-decision-kxscotuscase-gracit28","Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?",[401],{"name":394,"probability":402,"ticker":389,"volume":99},0.89,{"_id":404,"avgSpreadCents":54,"category":83,"endDate":405,"eventTicker":404,"lastUpdated":406,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":407,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":413,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":414,"topOutcomes":415,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-DOLSUN28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[408],{"ticker":404,"title":409,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":410,"yesAskDollars":232,"noBidDollars":143,"noAskDollars":411,"lastPriceDollars":317,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":412,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":317,"spreadCents":54,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Department of Labor in Department of Labor v. Sun Valley Orchards, LLC",0.16,0.84,"If the Supreme Court, in Department of Labor v. Sun Valley Orchards, LLC, rules federal law authorizes the Department of Labor to adjudicate proceedings imposing monetary remedies for violations of H-2A employment conditions and that Article III permits those agency adjudications, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-let-the-labor-department-impose-h-2a-monetary-remedies-through-agency-proceedings-kxscotuscase-dolsun28","Will SCOTUS let the Labor Department impose H-2A monetary remedies through agency proceedings?",[416],{"name":409,"probability":417,"ticker":404,"volume":99},0.195,{"_id":419,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":420,"eventTicker":419,"lastUpdated":421,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":422,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":427,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":428,"topOutcomes":429,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-DEPPRU28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[423],{"ticker":419,"title":424,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":339,"yesAskDollars":299,"noBidDollars":300,"noAskDollars":425,"lastPriceDollars":339,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":426,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":339,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of United States Department of the Air Force in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan",0.29,"If the Supreme Court, in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan, rules a federal RCRA permit-renewal application is not final agency action immediately reviewable under the Administrative Procedure Act, or that the federal government need not complete NEPA review before submitting such an application, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-bar-the-immediate-nepa-challenge-to-the-air-force-s-guam-hazardous-waste-permit-application-kxscotuscase-deppru28","Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?",[430],{"name":424,"probability":257,"ticker":419,"volume":99},{"_id":432,"avgSpreadCents":54,"category":83,"endDate":433,"eventTicker":432,"lastUpdated":434,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":435,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":442,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":443,"topOutcomes":444,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-CROBOA28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[436],{"ticker":432,"title":437,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":438,"yesAskDollars":439,"noBidDollars":440,"noAskDollars":155,"lastPriceDollars":153,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":441,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":153,"spreadCents":54,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Thomas Crowther et al. in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia",0.31,0.38,0.62,"If the Supreme Court, in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia, rules employees of federally funded educational institutions may sue their employers under Title IX for sex discrimination in employment, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-allow-school-employees-to-sue-under-title-ix-for-workplace-sex-discrimination-kxscotuscase-croboa28","Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?",[445],{"name":437,"probability":446,"ticker":432,"volume":99},0.345,{"_id":448,"avgSpreadCents":70,"category":83,"endDate":449,"eventTicker":448,"lastUpdated":450,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":451,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":455,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":456,"topOutcomes":457,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-BEAUSA28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[452],{"ticker":448,"title":453,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":201,"yesAskDollars":72,"noBidDollars":199,"noAskDollars":200,"lastPriceDollars":72,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":454,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":72,"spreadCents":70,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States","If the Supreme Court, in Beaird v. United States, rules courts must independently interpret the Sentencing Guidelines or apply a narrower deference framework than Stinson when considering Guidelines commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-overturn-or-narrow-stinson-deference-to-federal-sentencing-guideline-commentary-kxscotuscase-beausa28","Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?",[458],{"name":453,"probability":459,"ticker":448,"volume":99},0.6950000000000001,{"_id":461,"avgSpreadCents":62,"category":83,"endDate":462,"eventTicker":461,"lastUpdated":463,"liquidity":105,"marketCount":9,"markets":464,"mutuallyExclusive":118,"openInterest":105,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":470,"status":94,"strikeDate":105,"strikePeriod":105,"subTitle":139,"title":471,"topOutcomes":472,"volume":99,"volume24h":105},"KXSCOTUSCASE-ANDINT28",["Date","2028-08-01T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-10-02T08:01:23.538Z"],[465],{"ticker":461,"title":466,"yesSubTitle":109,"noSubTitle":109,"yesBidDollars":285,"yesAskDollars":467,"noBidDollars":468,"noAskDollars":282,"lastPriceDollars":467,"volumeFp":99,"volume24hFp":99,"openInterestFp":99,"liquidityDollars":105,"status":94,"result":105,"closeTime":114,"expirationTime":114,"marketType":115,"strikeType":105,"floorStrike":105,"capStrike":105,"rulesPrimary":469,"canCloseEarly":117,"fractionalTradingEnabled":118,"previousPriceDollars":467,"spreadCents":62,"spreadQuality":119,"liquidityScore":99},"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Winston R. Anderson and Christopher M. Sulyma in Anderson v. Intel Corp. Investment Policy Committee",0.49,0.51,"If the Supreme Court, in Anderson v. Intel Corp. Investment Policy Committee, rules an ERISA plaintiff alleging imprudent investment based on fund underperformance need not plead a “meaningful benchmark\", then the market resolves to Yes.","will-scotus-reject-a-benchmark-requirement-for-erisa-fund-underperformance-claims-kxscotuscase-andint28","Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?",[473],{"name":466,"probability":474,"ticker":461,"volume":99},0.44999999999999996]