[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"footer-top-cryptos-10":3,"kalshi-series-detail-KXEFFTARIFF":80},[4,11,19,27,34,41,48,56,64,72],{"cmcId":5,"symbol":6,"name":7,"logo":8,"rank":5,"price":9,"change24h":10},1,"BTC","Bitcoin","https://s2.coinmarketcap.com/static/img/coins/64x64/1.png",64222.24058617746,0.94039016,{"cmcId":12,"symbol":13,"name":14,"logo":15,"rank":16,"price":17,"change24h":18},1027,"ETH","Ethereum","https://s2.coinmarketcap.com/static/img/coins/64x64/1027.png",2,1867.2197746976883,0.68220553,{"cmcId":20,"symbol":21,"name":22,"logo":23,"rank":24,"price":25,"change24h":26},825,"USDT","Tether 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of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation","https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",{"name":93,"url":94},"Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index","https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm","what-will-the-us-effective-tariff-rate-be-kxefftariff","active",[98,99],"economics","kxefftariff","What will the US effective tariff rate be?",0,[103,227],{"_id":104,"avgSpreadCents":53,"category":82,"endDate":105,"eventTicker":104,"lastUpdated":106,"liquidity":107,"marketCount":108,"markets":109,"mutuallyExclusive":125,"openInterest":107,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":218,"status":96,"strikeDate":107,"strikePeriod":107,"subTitle":219,"title":220,"topOutcomes":221,"volume":101,"volume24h":107},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29",["Date","2026-11-05T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-08-05T07:01:10.451Z"],null,11,[110,127,134,144,154,164,174,184,194,200,210],{"ticker":111,"title":112,"yesSubTitle":113,"noSubTitle":113,"yesBidDollars":114,"yesAskDollars":115,"noBidDollars":116,"noAskDollars":117,"lastPriceDollars":118,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":24,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":123,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":118,"spreadCents":31,"spreadQuality":126,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T3","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?","Above 3%",0.95,0.99,0.01,0.05,0.75,"2026-10-29T12:29:00Z","2026-11-05T14:00:00Z","binary","greater","If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.",true,false,"moderate",{"ticker":128,"title":129,"yesSubTitle":130,"noSubTitle":130,"yesBidDollars":131,"yesAskDollars":115,"noBidDollars":116,"noAskDollars":132,"lastPriceDollars":118,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":31,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":133,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":118,"spreadCents":38,"spreadQuality":126,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T4","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 4%?","Above 4%",0.94,0.06,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":135,"title":136,"yesSubTitle":137,"noSubTitle":137,"yesBidDollars":138,"yesAskDollars":139,"noBidDollars":140,"noAskDollars":141,"lastPriceDollars":139,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":38,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":142,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":139,"spreadCents":45,"spreadQuality":143,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T5","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 5%?","Above 5%",0.92,0.98,0.02,0.08,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.","wide",{"ticker":145,"title":146,"yesSubTitle":147,"noSubTitle":147,"yesBidDollars":148,"yesAskDollars":149,"noBidDollars":150,"noAskDollars":151,"lastPriceDollars":152,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":45,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":153,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":152,"spreadCents":61,"spreadQuality":143,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T6","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 6%?","Above 6%",0.81,0.89,0.11,0.19,0.73,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":155,"title":156,"yesSubTitle":157,"noSubTitle":157,"yesBidDollars":158,"yesAskDollars":159,"noBidDollars":160,"noAskDollars":161,"lastPriceDollars":162,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":53,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":163,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":162,"spreadCents":61,"spreadQuality":143,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T7","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 7%?","Above 7%",0.68,0.76,0.24,0.32,0.64,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":165,"title":166,"yesSubTitle":167,"noSubTitle":167,"yesBidDollars":168,"yesAskDollars":169,"noBidDollars":170,"noAskDollars":171,"lastPriceDollars":172,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":61,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":173,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":172,"spreadCents":61,"spreadQuality":143,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 8%?","Above 8%",0.48,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.47,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":175,"title":176,"yesSubTitle":177,"noSubTitle":177,"yesBidDollars":178,"yesAskDollars":179,"noBidDollars":180,"noAskDollars":181,"lastPriceDollars":182,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":69,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":183,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":182,"spreadCents":61,"spreadQuality":143,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 9%?","Above 9%",0.26,0.34,0.66,0.74,0.21,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":185,"title":186,"yesSubTitle":187,"noSubTitle":187,"yesBidDollars":188,"yesAskDollars":189,"noBidDollars":190,"noAskDollars":191,"lastPriceDollars":192,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":77,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":193,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":192,"spreadCents":31,"spreadQuality":126,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T10","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 10%?","Above 10%",0.12,0.16,0.84,0.88,0.13,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":195,"title":196,"yesSubTitle":197,"noSubTitle":197,"yesBidDollars":117,"yesAskDollars":192,"noBidDollars":198,"noAskDollars":114,"lastPriceDollars":141,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":108,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":199,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":141,"spreadCents":61,"spreadQuality":143,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T11","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 11%?","Above 11%",0.87,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 11%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":201,"title":202,"yesSubTitle":203,"noSubTitle":203,"yesBidDollars":204,"yesAskDollars":205,"noBidDollars":206,"noAskDollars":207,"lastPriceDollars":117,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":208,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":209,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":117,"spreadCents":45,"spreadQuality":143,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T12","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 12%?","Above 12%",0.04,0.1,0.9,0.96,12,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":211,"title":212,"yesSubTitle":213,"noSubTitle":213,"yesBidDollars":116,"yesAskDollars":214,"noBidDollars":215,"noAskDollars":115,"lastPriceDollars":188,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":107,"closeTime":119,"expirationTime":120,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":216,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":217,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":188,"spreadCents":61,"spreadQuality":143,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T13","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 13%?","Above 13%",0.09,0.91,13,"If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.","us-effective-tariff-rate-for-q3-2026-kxefftariff-26oct29","Q3 2026","US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026",[222,224,226],{"name":112,"probability":223,"ticker":111,"volume":101},0.97,{"name":129,"probability":225,"ticker":128,"volume":101},0.965,{"name":136,"probability":114,"ticker":135,"volume":101},{"_id":228,"avgSpreadCents":107,"category":82,"endDate":229,"eventTicker":228,"lastUpdated":230,"liquidity":107,"marketCount":38,"markets":231,"mutuallyExclusive":125,"openInterest":107,"seriesTicker":81,"slug":263,"status":96,"strikeDate":107,"strikePeriod":107,"subTitle":264,"title":265,"topOutcomes":266,"volume":101,"volume24h":107},"KXEFFTARIFF-26JUL30",["Date","2026-08-06T14:00:00.000Z"],["Date","2026-07-30T16:01:06.450Z"],[232,239,246,251,257],{"ticker":233,"title":234,"yesSubTitle":137,"noSubTitle":137,"yesBidDollars":101,"yesAskDollars":5,"noBidDollars":101,"noAskDollars":5,"lastPriceDollars":131,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":235,"closeTime":236,"expirationTime":237,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":38,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":238,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":131,"spreadCents":107,"spreadQuality":107,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26JUL30-T5","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 5%?","yes","2026-07-30T12:29:00Z","2026-08-06T14:00:00Z","If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":240,"title":241,"yesSubTitle":242,"noSubTitle":242,"yesBidDollars":101,"yesAskDollars":5,"noBidDollars":101,"noAskDollars":5,"lastPriceDollars":180,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":235,"closeTime":236,"expirationTime":237,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":243,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":244,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":245,"spreadCents":107,"spreadQuality":107,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26JUL30-T7.5","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 7.5%?","Above 7.5%",7.5,"If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.",0.72,{"ticker":247,"title":248,"yesSubTitle":187,"noSubTitle":187,"yesBidDollars":101,"yesAskDollars":5,"noBidDollars":101,"noAskDollars":5,"lastPriceDollars":140,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":249,"closeTime":236,"expirationTime":237,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":77,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":250,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":204,"spreadCents":107,"spreadQuality":107,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26JUL30-T10","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 10%?","no","If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":252,"title":253,"yesSubTitle":254,"noSubTitle":254,"yesBidDollars":101,"yesAskDollars":5,"noBidDollars":101,"noAskDollars":5,"lastPriceDollars":140,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":249,"closeTime":236,"expirationTime":237,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":255,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":256,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":140,"spreadCents":107,"spreadQuality":107,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26JUL30-T12.5","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 12.5%?","Above 12.5%",12.5,"If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 12.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.",{"ticker":258,"title":259,"yesSubTitle":260,"noSubTitle":260,"yesBidDollars":101,"yesAskDollars":5,"noBidDollars":101,"noAskDollars":5,"lastPriceDollars":116,"volumeFp":101,"volume24hFp":101,"openInterestFp":101,"liquidityDollars":101,"status":96,"result":249,"closeTime":236,"expirationTime":237,"marketType":121,"strikeType":122,"floorStrike":261,"capStrike":107,"rulesPrimary":262,"canCloseEarly":124,"fractionalTradingEnabled":125,"previousPriceDollars":116,"spreadCents":107,"spreadQuality":107,"liquidityScore":101},"KXEFFTARIFF-26JUL30-T15","Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 15%?","Above 15%",15,"If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.","us-effective-tariff-rate-for-q2-2026-kxefftariff-26jul30","Q2 2026","US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026",[267,269,270],{"name":234,"probability":268,"ticker":233,"volume":101},0.5,{"name":241,"probability":268,"ticker":240,"volume":101},{"name":248,"probability":268,"ticker":247,"volume":101}]